FDU
W-L: (22- 5) PR = 94.0854Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 48-67 1105 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 52-98 1110 A BLMFL 92-60 1112 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 65-63 1116 H Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 49-59 1119 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 72-41 1125 A NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 71-43 1129 A Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 63-50 1204 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 69-61 1210 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 57-34 1229 H Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 51-62 1230 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 85-57 104 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 73-28 108 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 91-64 110 A New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 65-57 115 A Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 56-46 117 A LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 59-58 122 A Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 76-45 131 A Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 52-45 214 A Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 77-36 219 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 66-52 221 A New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 69-55 228 A LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 82-49 305 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 61-39 309 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 81-56 315 A LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 79-57 321 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 48-58
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Purdue 48-67 -19 -1 -0.54
1105 H Notre Dame 52-98 -46 -3 0.00
1112 A Manhattan 65-63 2 2 0.12
1116 H Rutgers 49-59 -10 0 -1.54
1119 A Delaware St 72-41 31 3 0.00
1125 A NJ Tech 71-43 28 0 1.58
1129 A Monmouth 63-50 13 1 1.29
1204 A Lafayette 69-61 8 2 0.45
1210 A St Peters 57-34 23 3 0.00
1229 H Binghamton 51-62 -11 0 - -2.31
1230 A MD-Ea Shore 85-57 28 1 1.29
104 A St Francis 73-28 45 4 0.00
108 A Chicago St 91-64 27 3 0.00
110 A New Haven 65-57 8 4 0.00
115 A Wagner 56-46 10 2 0.00
117 A LIU 59-58 1 2 -0.78
122 A Ce Connecticut 76-45 31 4 0.00
131 A Wagner 52-45 7 2 0.00
214 A Ce Connecticut 77-36 41 4 0.00
219 A Chicago St 66-52 14 3 0.00
221 A New Haven 69-55 14 4 0.00
228 A LIU 82-49 33 2 0.22
305 A St Francis 61-39 22 4 0.00
309 A St Francis 81-56 25 4 0.00
315 A LIU 79-57 22 2 0.22
321 H Iowa 48-58 -10 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1229 H Binghamton 51-62 -11 0 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 48-67 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 1.17 -2.54
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 52-98 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 1.17 -1.64
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 65-63 -7.70 3.26 0.01 1.17 7.63
3 H Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 49-59 -5.35 5.61 -0.01 1.17 -3.13
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 72-41 -9.05 1.91 0.01 1.17 4.49
3 A NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 71-43 -6.24 4.72 0.01 1.17 11.04
3 A Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 63-50 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.17 10.35
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 69-61 -7.37 3.59 0.01 1.17 8.40
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 57-34 -8.67 2.29 0.01 1.17 5.37
3 H Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 51-62 -6.12 4.84 -0.01 1.17 -3.58
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 85-57 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.17 10.35
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 73-28 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.17 3.65
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 91-64 -8.82 2.14 0.01 1.17 5.01
3 A New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 65-57 -9.51 1.45 0.01 1.17 3.42
3 A Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 56-46 -8.08 2.88 0.01 1.17 6.74
3 A LIU (14-10, 92.3) 59-58 -7.60 3.36 0.01 1.17 7.86
3 A Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 76-45 -9.99 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 52-45 -8.08 2.88 0.01 1.17 6.74
3 A Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 77-36 -9.99 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 66-52 -8.82 2.14 0.01 1.17 5.01
3 A New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 69-55 -9.51 1.45 0.01 1.17 3.42
3 A LIU (14-10, 92.3) 82-49 -7.60 3.36 0.01 1.17 7.86
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 61-39 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.17 3.65
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 81-56 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.17 3.65
3 A LIU (14-10, 92.3) 79-57 -7.60 3.36 0.01 1.17 7.86
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 48-58 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 1.17 -1.14
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115.19
|
winning pts = 127.2027 losing points = -12.0163
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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